(function() { (function(){function b(g){this.t={};this.tick=function(h,m,f){var n=void 0!=f?f:(new Date).getTime();this.t[h]=[n,m];if(void 0==f)try{window.console.timeStamp("CSI/"+h)}catch(q){}};this.getStartTickTime=function(){return this.t.start[0]};this.tick("start",null,g)}var a;if(window.performance)var e=(a=window.performance.timing)&&a.responseStart;var p=0=c&&(window.jstiming.srt=e-c)}if(a){var d=window.jstiming.load; 0=c&&(d.tick("_wtsrt",void 0,c),d.tick("wtsrt_","_wtsrt",e),d.tick("tbsd_","wtsrt_"))}try{a=null,window.chrome&&window.chrome.csi&&(a=Math.floor(window.chrome.csi().pageT),d&&0=b&&window.jstiming.load.tick("aft")};var k=!1;function l(){k||(k=!0,window.jstiming.load.tick("firstScrollTime"))}window.addEventListener?window.addEventListener("scroll",l,!1):window.attachEvent("onscroll",l); })();

Wednesday, January 07, 2009

Watch for Pullbacks in Energy Stocks

A Happy New Year to all! I was sick over the new year, hence the inactivity in my blog. But other than this minor hiccup, I look forward to an even more wonderful year ahead!

Energy Select Sector SPDR (NYSE:XLE) was coiling in a symmetrical triangle formation and broke out on the 1st trading day this year. However, I would caution going long or buying a call option on it now. It has been marching north for the last few sessions and it printed a shooting star at resistance (about $52.5) after gapping up yesterday. If it breaks below previous day low, I expect to see retracement and then it maybe a good time to enter. You can place fibonacci level over previous swing low to the high yesterday to see where the 38.2%, 50% and 61.8% retracement levels are.

Above is a chart of United States Oil Fund LP (NYSE:USO). Basically telling the same story. Broke out of downtrend channel with good volume but now facing resistance near $40.

So what we can do now is to monitor XLE, USO and oil related stocks closely for possible retracement, set your alerts and then time for lower risk entry.

2 Comments:

Blogger TheKing said...

Good analysis. Your shared thoughts are appreciated!

2:29 AM  
Blogger Simply Options Trader said...

thanks!

10:20 AM  

Post a Comment

<< Home